Following the world betting markets for president
November 4th - No Responses

One of the most reliable sources for election projections is not a traditional exit poll, it’s in fact the future betting markets! Betfair has put together an amazing chart tracking the national presidential elections by averaging millions of placed around the country. The chart is currently showing Obama so far ahead it’s not even funny, but who knows, there is still a 5-10% chance eh?

Obama up by 10 points according to NBC and Wall Street Journal
October 22nd - No Responses

NBC and the Wall Street Journal, two organizations which apparently aren’t part of Sarah Palin’s real America (comments she apologized for earlier Today), have released the results from their recent poll showing Obama is up by almost 10 points over John McCain.

“Voters have reached a comfort level with Barack Obama. The doubts and question marks have been erased,” said Peter D. Hart, a Democratic pollster who conducts the poll with Republican Neil Newhouse.

And even more telling, more and more voters are concerned that Sarah Palin is incapable of being president, which is becoming more apparent everyday.

Fifty-five percent of voters say Gov. Palin isn’t qualified to be president if the need arises, up from 50% two weeks ago. And when given a list of possible concerns about Sen. McCain, voters were by far most likely to say they worry about Gov. Palin’s qualification to be president.

Obama leading among Microsoft Xbox owners 43% to 31%
September 23rd - One Response

One of the largest unofficial and unscientific polls to come out of late regarding the 2008 presidential election was recently published and Obama appears to be ahead 43% to 31% among participants of the Microsoft / Rock the Vote poll. Nearly 100,000 owners of the Xbox 360 gaming console were able to cast their vote as of Friday from the comfort of their home using just their controllers.

There are quite a number of undecided voters as well as “others” who we’ll toss up into the undecided column for now.

Obama \ Biden: 43%
McCain \ Palin: 31%
Undecided: 13%
Other: 13%

Perhaps just as interesting as the poll is the registration drive which is attached, where users can register to vote via the service. According to Microsoft, 55,000 registration forms have been downloaded since the poll began August 25th.

However, the LA Times put it into perspective nicely

So although Xbox Live users represent a chunk of the youth demographic, which could swing key states such as Nevada, a big question remains: Will online gamers rip themselves away from the likes of Guitar Hero and Madden NFL 09 to go to the polls Nov. 4?

Indiana is in play for Obama. Poll 9/18 Obama: 47, McCain: 44
September 18th - No Responses

According to an Indianapolis Star / WTHR poll, Indiana is in play for Obama, with the Democratic Presidential contender holding a fragile, paper-thin lead in the state among potential voters.

Though Indiana isn’t traditionally a battleground state, Hoosiers in Indianapolis are polling for Obama by a wide margin, though McCain is polling ahead throughout the rest of the state. This points out that urban voter turnout will be crucial if Obama wants to truly take the state, a tall order, not only for Indiana, but for the rest of the country. Though Obama holds a slight lead, one in four likely Indiana voters are still up for grab, showing 6% of voters polled are undecided and almost 20% can be persuaded to switch parties.

The Indianapolis Star/WTHR (Channel 13) poll, conducted Sunday through Tuesday by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, Iowa, is based on telephone interviews statewide with 600 Hoosiers ages 18 and older who said they would definitely vote in the Nov. 4 election. A total of 818 Hoosiers were contacted in a sample that was adjusted for age, race and region based on recent census reports. Questions asked of the 600 likely voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. Results based on smaller samples of voters — such as by gender or age — have a larger margin of error. Interviewers used a sample of random-digit telephone numbers.